Monday, November 17, 2008

Why America Needs an Economic Strategy - BusinessWeek

Why America Needs an Economic Strategy - BusinessWeek

my comment:
It is refreshing to read a non-political assessment of the situation. You should update your "Competitive Advantage among Nations" book, which I enjoyed when it first came out. I think the U.S. biggest "competitive advantage" is "opportunity". More hard working and highly-skilled immigrants will want to come to U.S. to advance their economic and social status, especially now that someone with little to no means made it to President. I disagree with your assessment of the negative effect of low skilled labor immigration since it increases "productivity" especially among jobs that non-immigrants do not want to do for mimimum wage and an aging population, but that's a whole different subject. Given the complexity of the issues you pose, at the very least, I hope the new administration should identify our strengths so that we don't do anything to convert them into weaknesses. In terms of education, we can actually use successful models to improve the system, especially at the elementary school level, which I believe is where we have made long strides backwards.

How Better Marketing Elected Barack Obama - John Quelch

How Better Marketing Elected Barack Obama - John Quelch

my comments:
I agree with you. I sent an non-political e-mail to our sales force about a year ago using the Obama's internet campaign as "best practices" for selling to our clients. I get 2-3 e-mails per day which provided new information ("product news") and a reason to donate more money ("selling"). This extended to facebook and so on. It also allowed to import all your contacts to send them pre-written messages to support the campaign. Finally, all donors and volunteers received a thank you note prior to his Grant Park speech which ended "But I want to be clear about one thing .. All this happened because of you. Thank you, Barack" His campaign should a case study on how to manage an successful enterprise (leadership, strategy, management, marketing, sales, and Finance.

Carlos

Monday, August 11, 2008

Dave Barry: Beijing cab ride is a real trip - 08/10/2008 - MiamiHerald.com

Dave Barry: Beijing cab ride is a real trip - 08/10/2008 - MiamiHerald.com

my comments:

Your article brought me memories of my trip to China. Just wait when you ride on big charter bus. I remember the driver going so fast, we all thought he ran over a few of the hundreds of thousands of bicycle riders on every turn, which of course, he didn't. We also remember feeling famous walking on the sidewalks since many people just watch and follow us amused by everything we did. I think observing tourists is better than their sitcoms.
Posted by: cerban

Wednesday, May 7, 2008

Political Perceptions : Political Wisdom: Is It Curtains for Hillary?

Political Perceptions : Political Wisdom: Is It Curtains for Hillary?
I don’t understand why Hillary is still running. It is mathematically impossible for her to win the popular vote and the most delegates, even if you count Florida and Michigan. As a matter of fact, she has lost most of the undecided superdelegates. The only reason could be that she wants Obama to lose against McCain so that she will be the front runner in 2008.
Comment by Carlos Erban - May 7, 2008 at 9:56 am

Sunday, April 6, 2008

Advice from Bill Gates: Focus on education - 04/06/2008 - MiamiHerald.com#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm

Advice from Bill Gates: Focus on education - 04/06/2008 - MiamiHerald.com#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm
-------------
Andres,
I am glad you wrote about this issue. I hope some Latin American leaders wake up to this sad fact.
From someone who has been in both systems, I noticed two major differences at the High School level: reading and flexibility. In the U.S. children are encouraged to read book at a very young age. Also, "gifted" students are allowed to advance at a very young age. In Latin America, everyone is placed in the same boat. Many 11th graders in the U.S. are taking collegue level courses. Further, it is becoming more difficult to get admitted to top universities; making it very competitive to stand-out.
The biggest difference is at the college level. Harvard, Stanford, MIT, etc. attract not only the brightest from the U.S. but also the world. If you go to Kendall square (by MIT), you feel like you are in Asia. They invest their multi-billion dollar endowments on attracting the best professors and investing in research. Most recently, they are investing in attracting the brightest students from low income families. I recently attended a Harvard alumni luncheon at the Biltmore hotel to listen to Drew Faust (first new woman President). It was very interesting to listen to a Harvard alumn from the 1960's who said that he grew up in a small town and was fortunate to go Harvard. Today, he is very successful and "owes all to Harvard" -- obviously he contributes a lot. Although China and India may be trying to "catch up", it will take many generations to get back from the alumni. Unfortunately, in Latin America, most leaders talk about investing in education but few really do. I am not optimistic; therefore, many of the brightest students will continue to come and stay in the U.S.

Friday, April 4, 2008

Jews and Obama: Tolerating misinformation - Howard Salter - Politico.com

Jews and Obama: Tolerating misinformation - Howard Salter - Politico.com
I get these e-mails almost daily as well. I got into a big argument the other day with a neighbor who kept saying that Obama is a Muslim and hates all Jews. Unfortunately, most of my neighbors (older Jewish retired) seemed to believe the same. I yelled at her. He is not a Muslim, and if he were a Muslim what's the problem? She kept on going that he went to a Madrassa school. (I did some research, and Obama went to a school in Indonesia at age 11, where most students are Muslim but there are many Christians as well, and it is open to all faiths -- of course most Indonesians are Muslim so you would expect the school to have most Muslims. My elementary school was 99% Catholic, which did not make me Catholic. The big problem with all this propaganda is that it creates more hatred from many Jews against all Muslims and blacks. As a son of Holocaust survivor, who lectures students every week about how Jews were singled out and most did not care when they were sent to concentration camps, it hurts me to see Jews descriminating against Muslims and blacks. I am a big believer that racism is driven by ignorance and insecurity. Let's be honest. The issue for some Jews is that he is a for many a "schwartze". I am a big supporter of Obama, and I hope he wins. Do not tolerate racist remarks for the good of humanity.

Carlos Erban

Wednesday, April 2, 2008

Grocers Tout 'Sales' Even as Prices Climb - WSJ.com

Grocers Tout 'Sales' Even as Prices Climb - WSJ.com
-------------
Great article about Grocers defending vs. W-M in times of inflation

I am shocked how much cheaper branded food products are at W-M vs. grocery chains (check prices in the article); with inflation creeping up, shoppers are going more to W-M; therefore Chains need to defend with EM / loyalty programs!

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Barack Obama : : Change We Can Believe In | His Own Words

Barack Obama : : Change We Can Believe In His Own Words

My reaction:
I am glad to be able to listen to whole speech and reach my own conclusions. Unfortunately, most people will form opinions based on what they hear from others. Last night, I was watching Hardball, the Factor, and Hannity & Colmes, and it was interesting to see almost both extreme views. On one hand, I heard it was the best speech on race since MLK on the other hand it seemed as if Obama embraced and defended Rev. Wright's outrageous and offensive comments. To the point where Sean Hannity kept saying that he believes that Obama agrees with Rev. Wright and implied if elected would be anti-American (in POV, code for sympathetic to terrorism). My father, who is well-educated and very informed, called me concerned about Obama's problem now with Rev. Wright. Unfortunately, many Independents who support Obama will never listen to his whole speech and may change their support. I think it is imperative that Obama continues to condemn Rev. Wright's remarks on every opportunity that he gets but also focuses on the urgent issues that we face today such as the war in Iraq and the Economy. It is clear that many opponents of Obama are looking for anything to destroy his chances of being elected and will continue to do so throughout the campaign.

Friday, March 14, 2008

Bill: Deem Venezuela a terror sponsor - 03/14/2008 - MiamiHerald.com#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm

Bill: Deem Venezuela a terror sponsor - 03/14/2008 - MiamiHerald.com#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm

My comment:
As a Venezuelan, I agree that the U.S. put their business interest aside (ie. oil from Venezuela)I agree the U.S. Congress should pass their resolution but most importantly, they need to push the UN Security Council to review all the evidence and propose a resolution to classify Chavez government for what he is - a Taliban government - that protects and finances the narcoterrorist FARC. If they don't both, it is going to be view as another U.S. unilateral position.

Most Economists in Survey Say Recession Is Here - WSJ.com

Most Economists in Survey Say Recession Is Here - WSJ.com

Thursday, March 13, 2008

Ahead of the Tape - WSJ.com

Ahead of the Tape - WSJ.com

This article is very interesting. It projects another two years or so of home prices dropping to level off with personal income

Monday, March 10, 2008

The Chávez Democrats - WSJ.com

The Chávez Democrats - WSJ.com

My comment:
Ohio, Ohio, Ohio. As a Venezuelan who radically opposes Chavez - Taliban-type President, who openly supports and finances terrorists - FARC, I would agree with you 100% to sign a free trade agreement with Colombia. However, let's not be naive. Obama's advisor "wink, wink" to Canada on NAFTA, probably cost him the Ohio primary. Ohio decided the last general election and will probably decide it again. On the other hand, the Republicans had the WH and Congress for plenty of years to pass the free trade agreement with Colombia, which is much worse because they stand for free trade. Further, in my POV, nothing has galvanized the left in Latin American against the U.S. more than Bush. I do agree 100% that Chavez is power because of President Carter. He quickly certified the referendum to keep Chavez without a proper audit of the results. So, let's spread the blame fairly among Democrats and Republicans when it comes to destructive policy in Latin America.

Thursday, March 6, 2008

For Hugo Chávez, problems over FARC are just beginning - 03/06/2008 - MiamiHerald.com

For Hugo Chávez, problems over FARC are just beginning - 03/06/2008 - MiamiHerald.com

Andres,

I wrote a couple days ago the following that echoes the point of your article:

Once again, I underestimated Chavez. Last night, I was listening to his speech in "Alo Presidente", and I could not believe that he came borderline of declaring war to Colombia in defense of what we should all be celebrating, which is the death of Reyes, the #2 leader of the terrorist FARC. After seizing Reyes' computer, it is clear why Uribe did not notify Correa of the attack. The FARC considers Correa their friend. Uribe was pragmatic. He had the opportunity to take out one of the two leaders of Colombia #1 enemy and menace to society and then deal with the consequences. Ironically, Chavez responded harsher than Correa, who called his ambassador and "kicked-out" the Colombian ambassador. Correa also asked for the OAS and UN to act -- clearly using diplomatic protocol. He called the attacked a massacre and denounced Colombia for attacking instead of defending. Chavez, on the other hand, did not talk of any diplomatic measures, but instead sent 10 battalions, Air Force, etc. and threaten to go to war against Colombia if they make an incursion in Venezuela to attack the FARC. He also closed the embassy in Colombia, which basically means diplomatic and trade relations are suspended.

Chavez is acting like the Taliban government in Afghanistan. Not only is he providing safe haven to terrorists but also willing to use the Venezuelan Armed Forces to defend it. I hope that the Chavista leaders and Armed Forces are seriously evaluating if they want to "jump off the cliff" with Chavez. I believe the Venezuelan Armed forces would not go into war with Colombia to defend the FARC. They are unwilling, inexperienced, and unprepared to go to war to follow a crazy and egomaniac. I still have faith and hope that this is the beginning of hopefully the near end to Chavez. I hope that I do not underestimate the Venezuelan Armed Forces.

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

Bush Backs Colombian President

Bush Backs Colombian President

My comment:
Of course, everyone knows that the U.S. fully supports Uribe, especially against Chavez, who has called Bush the devil and a terrorist. If Bush wants to help Uribe, the best thing he can do is to shut up. Every time he supports anyone it backfires. There has never been a U.S. president less popular than Bush. Chavez says that Uribe is Bush’s puppet and that the U.S in behind the attack in Ecuador. Chavez main rhetoric is that the U.S is about to invade Venezuela and kill him to take away the oil. Most people in Venezuela don’t believe him, but if Bush keeps talking in support of Colombia, it is going to wake nationalistic sentiment in Venezuela, Ecuador, and the rest of Latin America. What’s going to be interesting is how the UN decides with the evidence that Chavez sent $300 million to the FARC.

Baduel llama a que la FAN no sea usada con fines políticos y personales

Nacional y Política - eluniversal.com

Monday, March 3, 2008

Once again, I understimated Chavez ...

Once again, I underestimated Chavez. Last night, I was listening to his speech in "Alo Presidente", and I could not believe that he came borderline of declaring war to Colombia in defense of what we should all be celebrating, which is the death of Reyes, the #2 leader of the terrorist FARC. After seizing Reyes' computer, it is clear why Uribe did not notify Correa of the attack. The FARC considers Correa their friend. Uribe was pragmatic. He had the opportunity to take out one of the two leaders of Colombia #1 enemy and menace to society and then deal with the consequences. Ironically, Chavez responded harsher than Correa, who called his ambassador and "kicked-out" the Colombian ambassador. Correa also asked for the OAS and UN to act -- clearly using diplomatic protocol. He called the attacked a massacre and denounced Colombia for attacking instead of defending. Chavez, on the other hand, did not talk of any diplomatic measures, but instead sent 10 battalions, Air Force, etc. and threaten to go to war against Colombia if they make an incursion in Venezuela to attack the FARC. He also closed the embassy in Colombia, which basically means diplomatic and trade relations are suspended.

Chavez is acting like the Taliban government in Afghanistan. Not only is he providing safe haven to terrorists but also willing to use the Venezuelan Armed Forces to defend it. I hope that the Chavista leaders and Armed Forces are seriously evaluating if they want to "jump off the cliff" with Chavez. I believe the Venezuelan Armed forces would not go into war with Colombia to defend the FARC. They are unwilling, inexperienced, and unprepared to go to war to follow a crazy and egomaniac. I still have faith and hope that this is the beginning of hopefully the near end to Chavez. I hope that I do not underestimate the Venezuelan Armed Forces.

Veneconomia - Violenta Realidad - Marzo 3, 2008

Violenta realidad

La relación estrecha del Gobierno de Chávez con las Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC), dejó de ser este fin de semana un secreto a voces para convertirse en una violenta realidad.Nunca antes habían estado tan claros y visibles los vínculos de Hugo Chávez y su Gobierno con las FARC como ahora, a raíz de la muerte de Raúl Reyes y de otros 17 guerrilleros más, en manos de un grupo comando del Ejército colombiano en territorio ecuatoriano.Las simpatías del mandatario venezolano con todo grupo insurgente, pero muy especialmente con las FARC, ha sido evidenciado en decenas de oportunidades.Una de ellas, por ejemplo, es la sentencia firme que se ordenó contra el Comandante Humberto Quintero Aguilar, en castigo por haber arrestado, en cumplimiento de su deber, al guerrillero Rodrigo Granda, conocido como el Canciller de las FARC.Más recientemente, durante todo el proceso de liberación de rehenes en manos de las FARC, se tiene el mensaje de solidaridad y amistad público que llevó su Ministro de Interior y Justicia del Gobierno venezolano a los guerrilleros que entregaron a las diputadas Clara Rojas y Consuelo González, en enero pasado. "¡Mantengan ese espíritu, mantengan esa fuerza! ¡Cuenten con nosotros!" Fue la promesa del ministro Ramón Rodríguez Chacín a los guerrilleros ese día.Más grave aún fue la solicitud de Chávez para que se le diera a las FARC y al ELN el reconocimiento de beligerancia a nivel internacional como verdaderos ejércitos, que tienen "un proyecto político y bolivariano aquí respetado".Otra evidencia de esta cercanía del Gobierno de Chávez con las FARC es la indiferencia con la que recibió Chávez de manos de Álvaro Uribe las pruebas de la existencia de campamentos guerrilleros en territorio venezolano, a pesar de habérsele entregado mapas y coordenadas de la ubicación de los mismos.Ahora, Chávez con la movilización de 10 batallones y tanques a la frontera con Colombia, y el cierre de la Embajada en Bogotá se ha metido en un conflicto bi nacional entre Colombia y Ecuador donde, a primera vista, no tiene incumbencia Venezuela.Es cierto que la acción del Ejército colombiano destruyó un campamento guerrillero en territorio ecuatoriano, lo que requiere de una explicación por parte del Gobierno de Colombia al de Ecuador.Pero, también requiere de amplias explicaciones por parte del presidente Rafael Correa, el hecho de que haya permitido que ese campamento estuviera en el Ecuador. Esto es evidencia de la complacencia de su Gobierno con las FARC y su ingerencia en un conflicto interno de un país soberano.Según las últimas informaciones, las cosas parece que se están complicando aún más. El Gobierno de Colombia recabó en la operación militar documentos que parecen involucrar más directamente a los Gobiernos de Correa y de Chávez con las FARC.De corroborarse estas denuncias, quedarían develadas las verdaderas razones de la unilateral, emocional e irracional reacción de Hugo Chávez, que ponen en riesgo de entrar en un conflicto de proporciones incalculables a pueblos hermanos.

Sunday, March 2, 2008

My response to "NAFTA rhetoric may harm ties with Latin America" - 03/02/2008 - MiamiHerald.com

NAFTA rhetoric may harm ties - 03/02/2008 - MiamiHerald.com

My response:

Andres,
I think you are being too harsh saying that Obama and Clinton's statements as irresponsible as Republicans on illegal immigration, considering that some Republicans' comments are borderline racist. However, let me comment on somethings missing in your article. I am all for free trade. As a matter of fact, one of the few areas where there is a consensus among Economists is free trade, but let's put some context. Ohio, a big manufacturing economy is hurting, mainly due to jobs lost to globalization. This is also the state where the primary and may be the national election will be decided. Hillary has asked for a "time-out" and Obama wants to keep "improving fairness in labor and enviromental" standards. I worry more about what does a "time-out" mean -- suspending NAFTA? The fact of the matter is that when you have $20 hour vs. $1-2 hour you cannot close that gap even without NAFTA. This is where China applies. Free Trade will be very difficult with China. The U.S. starting losing its manufacturing industry long before NAFTA. The big issue is that it is also losing the technology industry. We have all called customer service to help us install our wireless router for example and somebody from India or Costa Rica helps us set it up. The U.S. biggest comparative advantage continues to be to attract talent from all over the world who innovate and stay in the U.S. Unfortunately, try explaining that to labor unions in Michigan and Ohio, which are key to get the National nomination.
Posted by: Carlos Erban

Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Barack's secret weapon - Marketing & Sales over the Internet

I am amazed how sophisticated the Obama campaign is in terms of Marketing & Sales using the internet. I just received this e-mail. If I click the logo to the right, it automatically takes me to website where I can call potential voters from Texas and/or Ohio. Since I speak Spanish, I am in the group that can call Hispanics in Texas. There are several examples of scripts and so far. Although I am no big fan of cold calling people at home, I am tempted to try it. Everyone talks about his speeches, but I think his secret weapon is this Marketing & Sales via the internet. By the way, this is not meant to push one candidate or another, but to learn in my POV, the leading best practices in Marketing & Sales using the Internet. When I have a little, I will write a more an essay on my blog about the Barack campaign “secret marketing & sales weapon to win”

From: Barack Obama [mailto:info@barackobama.com] Sent: Wednesday, February 27, 2008 4:38 PMTo: Carlos ErbanSubject: Something extraordinary

Carlos --
Early this morning, we reached one million people owning a piece of this campaign.
Think about that for a minute.
One million people like you own a stake in a grassroots movement that is not just competing, but thriving, in a political process that's been dominated by special interests for far too long.
You have given your time, energy, and passion to bring about change.
And it's working.
I cannot thank you enough for all you've done, but there are still millions of Americans who remain on the outside of the political process. They are skeptical of politicians and disillusioned by the partisan gridlock of Washington, D.C.
Right now, we have an opportunity to reach out to those people and show them that the change we need is possible.
That's why, on this historic day, we are committing ourselves to a new goal: calling one million people before the March 4th primaries.
Tuesday's contests in Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island, and Vermont could be decisive in this race.
Help mark today's historic achievement by picking up the phone, reaching out to potential supporters, and inviting them to join our movement for change:
http://my.barackobama.com/call
No other campaign has ever reached one million donors while still in a competitive primary, and I am grateful for your generosity.
This is an important milestone, not just for our campaign, but also for our party. This level of support will be invaluable as we head toward a general election in which grassroots participation will be more important than ever.
The next six days could decide whether we get that chance. It will take a massive effort across the country to Get Out The Vote on Tuesday, March 4th.
That means reaching out, making phone calls, and building this movement one person at a time.
You can use our online phonebanking tool to call potential supporters in Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island, and Vermont from the comfort of your own home.
Start making calls right now:
http://my.barackobama.com/call
When we first started this campaign more than a year ago, the Washington establishment dismissed the idea of a grassroots movement for change.
Then, when we started winning caucuses and primaries in every part of the country, they called our victories "insignificant." They accused us of spreading "false hope" and claimed that we needed a "reality check."
Today, no one can say this movement is not real.
More than one million people have taken ownership of this campaign -- and you cannot be ignored.
Now is the time to pick up the phone and call potential supporters in Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island, and Vermont.
Make your voice heard and help reach our goal of one million calls before March 4th:
http://my.barackobama.com/call
Thank you for all your hard work, and for being a part of this historic moment.
Barack

Monday, February 18, 2008

Obama: Pluses, minuses on Latin America issues - 02/17/2008 - MiamiHerald.com#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm

Obama: Pluses, minuses on Latin America issues - 02/17/2008 - MiamiHerald.com#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm#recent_comm

My comments:
I think that simple fact that Obama is willing to meet with adversaries such as Chavez is a big plus. If Reagan would have never met with Gorbashev or Kennedy with Kruschev or Nixon with China, we would still have a cold war and may WWIII. Clinton and McCain are clearly pandering to the Cuban-Americans. What I don't understand is why do the Mexican-Americans support Clinton over Obama 3-1 when Obama supports driver licenses for undocumented works, which makes sense pragmatically to avoid uninsured drivers? Is it because he is black? I would like hear some perspective from the Mexican-American so called leaders

Worst things to say at work - CNN.com

Worst things to say at work - CNN.com

Chavez Threatens To Seize Food Producer Empresas Polar - WSJ.com

Chavez Threatens To Seize Food Producer Empresas Polar - WSJ.com

Veneconomia - ¿Quién es el traidor? - Feb. 15, 2008

Es un lugar común que Hugo Chávez y sus acólitos tilden a todo aquél que no le es sumiso, de estar al servicio del imperio, de ser desestabilizador, de violar la soberanía o que de ser traidor a la patria. Ahora, les tocó el turno a los abogados de la ExxonMobil, a los técnicos y parlamentarios de la IV República que aprobaron los convenios con las empresas extranjeras que operaban campos marginales, mejoraban crudos de la Faja del Orinoco o tenían contratos con ganancias compartidas con PDVSA. Todos ellos, más cualquier analista, abogado o periodista venezolano que se atreva a opinar a favor de la ExxonMobil en su reclamo contra PDVSA, se arriesgan a ser acusados por el Gobierno de "traidores a la patria al servicio del imperio".Tiene razón el ministro de Energía y Minas, y presidente de Petróleos de Venezuela al afirmar que "el petróleo es de los venezolanos y le corresponde a los venezolanos". Esto no es lo que está en discusión. Lo que ExxonMobil está reclamando al Gobierno de Chávez es que violó sus derechos, según las leyes nacionales e internacionales, cuando fue despojada arbitrariamente de activos en los que había invertido legítimamente con la anuencia del Estado venezolano. Y, sobre todo, que el Gobierno se haya negado sistemáticamente hasta ahora a pagarle el precio justo por esos activos.ExxonMobil no está haciendo nada diferente a lo que han hecho los empresarios, agricultores y ciudadanos venezolanos a quienes se les han confiscado y expropiado sus empresas, tierras o bienes por capricho del Gobierno y en pos de una falsa "utilidad pública y bienestar social".Lo diferente es que a las empresas venezolanas no les ha quedado más que recurrir a los subyugados tribunales venezolanos, donde no han tenido posibilidad alguna de un trato justo e imparcial. La diferencia es que a ExxonMobil tiene el derecho contractual, amparado por convenios internacionales, de apelar al arbitraje en tribunales internacionales, donde sí se hace justicia y donde las autoridades venezolanas sí tienen que rendir cuentas y acogerse a sus dictámenes. Son cínicos, para no decir mentirosos, quienes hoy acusan de traidores a la patria a los venezolanos que ayer buscaban el desarrollo de la industria del país en asociación con capital y tecnología extranjera, o que acusan a la ExxonMobil de querer dañar a Venezuela o hacerla rehén de sus intereses. Esos acusadores saben perfectamente que en los tribunales venezolanos no existe posibilidad de un trato justo e imparcial para las demandas que sean contrarias a los intereses del Gobierno de Chávez.La pregunta que cabe ante tanto desparpajo del Gobierno es ¿quiénes son traidores a la patria? ¿Los que buscaron mejores condiciones para desarrollar la industria nacional y quienes buscan justicia y defender sus derechos? O ¿quiénes han llevado a la destrucción de la capacidad productiva de todo el sector agroindustrial, los que han supeditado la seguridad alimentaria a las importaciones, y quienes han llevado al foso a la principal industria del país, condenando a los venezolanos a sufrir una crisis de magnitudes impredecibles?

-------------- Mi comentario:
Lo que falto decir en este articulo quizas por miedo es que Venezuela va a perder el arbitraje o juicio de ExxonMobil, perdera muchos billones de dolares por sin verguenza, y sera un dia de celebracion agridulce para los empresarios Venezolanos y ojala el fin de Chavez!

Monday, February 11, 2008

Chávez Threatens Oil Cutoff in Exxon Spat - WSJ.com

Chávez Threatens Oil Cutoff in Exxon Spat - WSJ.com

As expected, Chavez threatens an embargo, but what I found most interesting about this article is that: "Short-term moves by Venezuela could unsettle oil markets, which have become volatile because of the tight margin between supply and rapidly growing demand. But oil is a global commodity, so the U.S. might also get around Venezuela's embargo relatively easily by getting more oil from other nations. Another country could also buy Venezuelan oil and resell it to the U.S."

Also, keep in mind as the article points out that:"Still, PdVSA relies on its U.S. refining subsidiary, Houston's Citgo Petroleum Corp., to process the country's thick crudes, which can be more difficult and expensive to turn into gasoline and other products. Most analysts say Venezuela's oil would fetch much less from other countries than it gets through Citgo."

However, the article does not mention Venezuela's geographical advantage, which translates into about 30 days compared almost almost 4 months from the M. East. Nevertheless, you cannot expect Chavez to act rationally; so you never know if Chavez is bluffing.

Friday, February 8, 2008

Exxon Wins Asset Freeze In Fight With Venezuela - WSJ.com

Exxon Wins Asset Freeze In Fight With Venezuela - WSJ.com

I am surprised that the court order has reach beyond the U.S. Could this be the beginning to a "trade war" with the U.S? Let's see how Chavez reacts.

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Economics Blog : Summers Testimony on Fiscal Stimulus

Economics Blog : Summers Testimony on Fiscal Stimulus

My comments:

I wish that all the presidential candidates read this interview from an Economist with a successful track record (it was not Bill Clinton but the Rubin, Summers and Greenspan) who turned around the economy in the 90's. Bill gets credit for bringing Democrats and Republicans together. The current candidates from both parties go into populist rhetoric and generalities -- clearly showing their lack of understanding of the Economy. It is clear that a targeted stimulus package is required now! I find it interesting that Summers is skeptical of the 2001 stimulus package. Either way, here is a chance for Republicans and Democrats in Congress to redeem themselves and agree to a stimulus package now. I am glad that finally someone provides specifics on the "what and the how" to stimulate the economy. Let's hope someone listens and acts!!

Thank you letter from Obama

Subject: That was fast‏

From: Barack Obama (info@barackobama.com)
Sent: Wed 1/16/08 12:10 PM
Reply-to:
info@barackobama.com
To: Carlos Erban (carlos.erban@hotmail.com)

Carlos --

I'm writing to you this morning from Las Vegas.
After the New Hampshire primary last week, we set a goal of 100,000 online donors in 2008 -- a goal we hoped to reach before the Nevada caucuses on Saturday.
Last night we got there five days early.
Think about that: 100,000 donors in 15 days.
That response has boosted our entire organization and proven that this movement for change is just getting started.
In town halls and rallies across Nevada, I can feel that momentum. And it's clear that more than 100,000 people are feeling it all across the country.
Your support this year has been amazing, and I can't thank you enough.
But there are hundreds of thousands of supporters who have not given this year, and we need their support to build an operation that can compete in all fifty states.
So we are setting our sights even higher: 125,000 donors by the Nevada caucuses this Saturday, January 19th.
Inspire another supporter to give for the first time in 2008 -- or the first time ever -- by promising to match their donation.
Keep our momentum going. Make an additional donation of $50 today and double your impact:
https://donate.barackobama.com/promise
Because of you, this campaign is closer and more competitive than anyone imagined.
And with your support we'll head into Nevada 125,000 strong on Saturday.
Thanks,
Barack
P.S. -- Last night's debate ended with an unusual question. A Nevada voter sent an email asking each of the candidates when we decided to run for president. Here was my answer:

https://donate.barackobama.com/NVdebate

Washington Wire - WSJ.com : Who Won the Democratic Debate?

Washington Wire - WSJ.com : Who Won the Democratic Debate?


I support Obama because in my opinion he is the Kennedy of our generation. He is a leader. He paints a vision of the future and inspires others to do better. I watch all the debates Republican and Democrats. I can’t wait to see them against each other, especially on the war of Irak. However, I think this election will be about “the enonomy stupid”. I have not heard one compelling argument from any candidate yet on how to improve our economy. I give the edge to Romney here, however, the populist view may prevail. The good news is that the President has little effect on monetary policy. Everyone is for tax breaks now but I don’t see more than a symbolic break. Republicans talk about cutting expenditures without any specifics, while having a troops surge, while Democrats talk about universal health care. That’s all good. Who is going to pay for it?
Comment by Carlos Erban - January 16, 2008 at 9:22 am

Carlos Erban,Obama is Kennedy? After graduating from Harvard Kennedy joined Navy and nearly died when Japanese sank his boat. What did Obama do after graduating from Harvard? Started building a fortune, living in a multi-million dollar home, and prepared to run for political offices. The only candidate who comes close to Kennedy is McCain.
Comment by AL - January 16, 2008 at 9:29 am

I agree that you cannot compare Obama to JFK on military experience, but has not been a draft since Vietnam. My father was a war hero, but Obama is from a new generation — my generation. He was 5 years old during Vietnam. By the way, JFK(my hero) was born with a silver spoon. Obama had nothing went on to Columbia and then became the first African American to be Editor of Harvard Law Review. I think Obama is the JFK of our generation because he is the only one that inspires others to do better. He talks about uniting people. I truly he believe that he would surround himself with the best people from all sides of the issues. That’s what we need in this country. Washington is so divided that they cannot get anything done.
Comment by Carlos Erban - January 16, 2008 at 9:48 am